Pindo Warplanes Ignore Daesh Convoys Fleeing Mosul to Syria
Fars News, Oct 17 2016
TEHRAN – Iraq’s volunteer forces (Hashd al-Shaabi) complain that Pindo warplanes are allowing Daesh convoys flee Mosul in Iraq’s Nineveh province to Syria without being harmed. A Hashd al-Shaabi source said:
Much surprised the ISIL convoys that have been escaping from Mosul to Syria have not come under attack by the coalition fighter jets. Daesh is now confused in Mosul, as the Iraqi security forces have gained a lot of information about their centers of concentration there.
Iraqi PM Abadi announced early on Monday that the country’s armed forces and popular troops had started large-scale operation to take back Mosul. Abadi appeared on state TV an hour after midnight to declare that his country’s army, security and mobilized volunteer troops have started the long-awaited offensive to take back the city. Flanked by the armed forces’ top commanders, he said:
The hour has come and the moment of great victory is near. We promise the troops will exercise maximum caution to save civilian lives and avoid collateral damage. We ask the civilian population to raise white flags over their buildings and contact the government troops with any kind of helpful information that they might have about Daesh. We urge you, the heroic people of Mosul, to cooperate with our security forces to rescue you.
Mosul was the first city taken by Daesh in Jun 2014, and it was there that Baghdadi declared his so-called caliphate. Daesh could control over 40% of Iraq after it took Mosul over two years ago, but now it holds only 10% of the country after losing battles in such major cities as Beiji, Tikrit, Fallujah and Ramadi in the last year. ISIL has forcibly levied taxes on the over 1-million-strong population still believed to be living in the city. Iraqi army troops and volunteer forces (Hashd al-Shaabi) had been deployed 15 km from Mosul two days ago. The Hashd al-Shaabi announced in a statement on Saturday:
The reconnaissance operation in Mosul has ended. We are waiting for the operations to kick off.
Iraq’s military forces have been bringing in a large number of troops, weapons, ammunition, armored vehicles, personnel carriers, tanks and other types of military equipment in preparation for the operation for the last several weeks, but many military and state officials and popular forces’ commanders were slamming Pindostan for pressurizing Baghdad to delay the operation for the last several months, a view that was even supported by Donald Trump, who asked in his second televised debate with Hillary Clinton, whether Pindostan has been hindering the operation for such a long time, in order to let Daesh commanders and top brass escape to Syria. Daesh has also been preparing for the operation for the last several weeks. They have reportedly used thousands of prisoners to dig a complicated network of tunnels and trenches around the city and filled the wide trench dug around the city with oil to put it on fire, as they expect the city to go under siege by Iraq’s joint military troops. They have opened multiple fronts to confront the government troops. Many top Daesh commanders including Baghdadi himself, his deputies, and their family members have left the city for Raqqa. Baghdadi and his top aides left the city last week, while local sources in Nineveh disclosed on Sunday that the families of the Daesh members who left Mosul just arrived in the town of Merkedeh in Syria’s Hasaka province. Iraqi Kurdistan Democrat Party’s media director Said Mamouziti said last week:
Daesh commanders including al-Baghdadi are escaping Mosul to Syria. Al-Baghdadi has also ordered his followers to completely destroy Mosul if they are defeated in the war against Iraq’s joint military forces.
Later Mamouziti said that Daesh were fleeing the city since the long-awaited large-scale operation to free Mosul was expected to be launched in the following days. Meantime on Sunday, local sources revealed:
Daesh commanders’ families, including over 25 foreign families, escorted by military convoys reached the town of Merkedeh.
Earlier on Sunday, local sources in Nineveh province disclosed:
Daesh has brought to a halt all activities of its security offices in the city of Mosul. Daesh has recently issued a circular in Mosul city according to which all its offices will halt operation until further notice. Daesh has already evacuated its security offices in several districts of Mosul in recent days, and many members seem confused to see the rush in their commanders’ actions.
Pindostan has also been pressuring Baghdad to keep the Hashd al-Shaabi away from the operation, but they are now deployed to the battlefield after PM Abadi personally approved their participation in the Mosul operation last week. The Iraqi media had earlier reported that the Mosul operations would start from several directions, the most important of which are al-Qayyara axis located 60 km south of Mosul and Sahl Nineveh some 20 km east of the city.
When Mosul falls, Isis will flee to the safety of Syria. But what then?
Robert Fisk, Independent, Oct 17 2016
Syria’s army and Hezbollah and Iranian allies are preparing for a massive invasion by thousands of Daesh, who will be driven out of Iraq when Mosul falls. The Syrian military suspect that the real purpose behind the much-trumpeted Pindo-planned “liberation” of the Iraqi city is to swamp Syria with the hordes of Daesh, who will flee their Iraqi capital in favour of their “mini-capital” of Raqqa inside Syria itself. For weeks now, Western media and the Pindosi experts it likes to quote have been predicting a Stalingrad-style battle to the death by Daesh inside Mosul, or a swift victory over Daesh followed by inter-sectarian Iraqi battles for the city. The UN is warning of massive refugee columns streaming from a besieged city. But the Syrians, after witnessing the sudden collapse and evacuation of Palmyra when their own army retook the ancient Syrian city earlier this year, suspect that Daesh will simply abandon Mosul and try to reach safety in the areas of Syria which it still controls. Already, Syrian army intelligence has heard disturbing reports of a demand by Daesh in towns and villages south of Hasaka, a Syrian city held by regime forces and Kurds in the north of the country, for new electricity and water supplies to be installed for an influx of Daesh from Mosul. In other words, if Mosul falls, the entire Daesh army could be directed against the Assad government and its allies, a scenario which might cause some satisfaction in Faschingstein. When Fallujah fell to Iraqi army and militia forces earlier this year, many Daesh fled at once to Syria. Nasrallah said in a speech marking the Ashura commemorations last week:
The Pindosis intend to repeat the Fallujah plot, when they opened a way for Daesh to escape towards eastern Syria… The same deceitful plan may be carried out in Mosul.
In other words, defeat in Mosul would encourage Daesh to head west to try to defeat the Assad regime in Syria. These suspicions have scarcely been allayed by a series of comments from Pindosi generals and military sources over the past few weeks. The newly appointed Pindosi commander in the region, Lt-Gen S Townsend, heading what Pindostan has presumptiously called ‘Operation Inherent Resolve,’ has said that not only Mosul but the Syrian city of Raqqa would be captured “on my watch.” But who exactly does he think will capture Raqqa? The Syrian army still intends to fight on to Raqqa from its base on the the Damascus-Aleppo military road west of the city, after an attempt earlier this year which was abandoned for political rather than military reasons. Russia apparently preferred to concentrate its firepower on other militias, especially Nusra, which both Moscow and Damascus now regard as being far more dangerous than Daesh. Both have noticed how Nusra is increasingly referred to by both Western politicians and journalists as “the rebels” along with a plethora of other militia outfits fighting the Syrian regime. An unidentified Pindo general was quoted last month expressing his concern that Iraqi Shia forces might seize the town of Tal Afar on the Iraqi-Syrian border in order to trap Daesh inside Iraq and thus prevent their flight into Syria. Daesh is reported to have abandoned Tal Afar several days ago.
Military Times has argued that Townsend, who has a mere 5,000 Pindo troops on the ground in Iraq and northern Syria combined, must “pursue Daesh into Syria, where Pindostan has few allies on the ground.” That is quite an understatement. Townsend himself is talking of “a long, difficult fight” for Mosul. He has also referred to a “siege” of Mosul. These are the dire predictions in which the Syrians do not believe. Assad’s own army, with its 65,000 fatalities in a battle that has now lasted five years, has already been bombed by the Pindosis at Deir Ezzor at a cost of at least 60 dead, in what Faschingstein described as a ‘mistake,’ and is now preparing to challenge the huge influx of Daesh which could cross the border after the collapse of Mosul. Nasrallah himself made an intriguing allusion to this in his speech. He suggested that if Daesh are not defeated in Mosul, then the Iraqis themselves, meaning presumably the Iraqi Shia militia, one of the spearheads of the government army, “will be obliged to move to eastern Syria in order to fight the terrorist group.” Given the possibility that Syrian troops and their Russian allies may have to confront this same group, it’s little wonder that they are trying to conclude their capture of eastern Aleppo, whatever the cost in lives, before the fall of Mosul.