Mosul. The rebellion.
El Murid, Oct 17 2016 20:10 MSK
From Mosul, there are reports (still without confirmation) about the outbreak inside the city the rebellion of the Naqshbandi Army and the collisions of Daesh with her.
It should be noted that just a few days ago there were reports of mass arrests and executions (through drowning) of about 80 people from among the former Baathists in Mosul. In principle, the information most likely is Daesh, not advertising really, sousnitse with the High command of liberation and Jihad Izzat Ibrahim al-Douri, and the word “works” to be a serious explanation – in many respects ISIS is a structural unit of the Command. Just at a lecture on Sunday, I will elaborate on this point. Anyway, but in Mosul in addition to ISIS, indeed, perfectly legal acts of the men of the Naqshbandi Army tariqa, performing purely police functions and the structural part (one of 24 groups), who founded the High command in 2007, when Daesh did not exist and its predecessor AQI was marginal and in very tatty condition. The Naqshbandi Army is not Salafi but Sufi, so that in the ideological relation of clericals they are clearly not allies of the radical Wahhabis of Daesh. However, in the struggle against the common enemies, (which include) the Kurds and the Baghdad government, they have found a common language. The Naqshbandi Army consists mainly of local natives who in 2014 assisted Daesh in the capture of the city, hitting the military from the inside. After the capture of Mosul, they took over the functions of security and also took custody and control of the most important venues of the city. The Baathists immediately recruited out of hiding thousands of managers who have taken up the life of a multi-million city. However, the contradiction there exist without a doubt, so the message about the rebellion cannot cause bewilderment. The main question is whether this rebellion broke out with the collusion of the coalition, and if so, what the Baathists demanded in return.
Mosul. Mutiny (2)
El Murid, Oct 17 2016 22:15 MSK
Version about the uprising in Mosul while receives new confirmations, but still unclear the extent of their veracity. While everything is very similar to the memorable storming of Tripoli, when the first three or four days out of town was very different and contradictory information. But here, at least, the story of betrayal and rebellion looks consistent. The situation is reminiscent of the story of the capture of Baghdad in 2003, when the generals of Saddam missed the surprise move of the Pindosis, who bypassed Baghdad and organized the attack on the north side, where the Iraqi military was completely unprepared. Defence in the south collapsed, as there was no point. Later came the myth about the treachery of the generals, but in reality they merely accepted the inevitable. Today reported about the rebellion in the environment of Islamic police of Mosul. This is a structure that was almost completely under the control of the Sufi Naqshbandi Army and consisted of four-fifths of the local natives, which makes sense; the pre-war Mosul was almost two million by the city, and to navigate it came almost impossible. Two years of control of Daesh of Mosul led to the fact that the Naqshbandi Army completely took control of the police structure and now represents nearly 10,000 men. However, (only) about two-thirds of the Islamic police are armed, with light weapons and militarily unable to resist the military of Daesh, but in the current situation of the blockade and the beginning of the storm, they had the chance. It seems that the Baathists actually managed to agree with someone from the coalition or Turkey or Pindostan, as with the Kurds or Baghdad to negotiate about, these will cut all without the slightest pity. What the Sufis asked as reward is a difficult question, it is unlikely that it was only about the preservation of life, the stakes are higher.
Daesh Moves To Syria, While Erdogan Still Aims For Aleppo
Moon of Alabama, Oct 18 2016
The Iraqi army started a large operation to liberate Mosul from Daesh. But the forces, in total some 40,000, are still several dozen km away from the city limits. They will have to capture several towns and villages and pass many IED obstacles before coming near to the center and house-to-house fighting. It might take many months to eliminated the last stay-behind Daesh cells in Mosul. About one million civilians live there; many, many more than in east Aleppo. Many of them were sympathetic with the new overlords when Daesh stormed in two years ago. French, Pindosi, Kurdish, Iraqi and Turkish artillery are pounding them now. Airstrikes attack even the smallest fighting position. When the city is conquered, it will likely be destroyed. The imminent fight over Mosul might be the reason why Jackass Kerry dialed down his hypocritical howling over east Aleppo, which is under attack from Syrian and Russian forces. The attack on Mosul proceeds on three axes. Kurds under Pindo SOF advisors attack from the north; Iraqi forces attack from the east and south. The way to the west, towards Syria, is open. The Pindo intention is to let Daesh, several thousand of them, flee to Deir Ezzor and Raqqa in Syria. They are needed there to further destroy the Syrian state. We pointed out here that this move will create the “Salafi principality” that Pindostan and its vassals have striven to install in east Syria since 2012. The “mistake” of the Pindosi bombing of Syrian army positions in Deir Ezzor was in support of that plan. Other commentators are finally catching up with that conclusion. The Turks are openly talking about such an escape plan for Daesh in Mosul. Anadolu published this “sensitive” operations plan. Point 4 says:
An escape corridor into Syria will be left for Daesh so they can vacate Mosul
Two points in the Turkish plan will not come true. The Iraqi government has ordered that no Turkish troops take part in the Mosul operation and will designate them as enemies should they try. The Sunni “Nineveh Guard”, trained by Turkey, paid by the Toads and led by the former Anbar governor Atheel al-Nujaifi, will also be excluded. It was the Toad proxy al-Nujaifi who practically handed Anbar over to Daesh by ordering his troops to flee when Daesh attacked. He and his Turk & Toad sponsors want to create an independent Sunni statelet in west Iraq, just like the Kurds created their own entity within north Iraq. Pindostan hopes that the influx of Daesh into Syria will keep the Russians and Iranians trapped in the “quagmire” Obama prescribed and finally destroy the Syrian state. It seems to have mostly given up on other plans. The Pindo military now acknowledges that fighting the Russian air defense in Syria would be a real challenge:
“It’s not like we’ve had any shoot at an F-35,” the boxtop said. “We’re not sure if any of our aircraft can defeat the S-300.”
There is a “no-fly zone” over west Syria, and it’s the Russians who control it. All Pindosi and Turkish talk about such a zone is moot. The Obama administration has for now also given up on other plans. The recent NSC meeting deferred on further decisions:
Consideration of other alternatives, including the shipment of arms to Pindo-allied Kurds in Syria, and an increase in the quantity and quality of weapons supplied to opposition fighters in Aleppo and elsewhere, were deferred until later, boxtops said. Pindo military action to stop Syrian and Russian bombing of civilians was even further down the list of possibilities.
The only “hope” for its Syria plans is now the facilitation of another Daesh influx. That and the CIA-coordinated actions of its vassals. The Toad Foreign Minister announced that his country will increase weapons flow to its AQ proxies in Syria. The “rebels” are still receiving TOW anti-tank missiles and other heavy weapons. Turkish proxy forces, some Syrians, some “Turkmen” from Chechnya and elsewhere, have taken Dabiq from Daesh. The village is said to become a focal point of a future apocalyptic Christian-Muslim battle. A lot of “western” commentators pointed to that as a reason why Daesh would fight for it. But that battle is only predicted for the period after the return of the Mahdi, which has not been announced. The current ideological value of Dabiq is therefore low and like in Jarablus, Daesh coordinated well and moved out before the Turkish proxies moved in. The Russians had allowed Turkey to enter Syria only within a limit of some 15 km south of the Turkish border. Heavy artillery would have to stay on the Turkish side. The sole original purpose of the Turkish invasion was to prevent a Kurdish corridor from the eastern Kurdish areas in Syria to Afrin in the west. Such a corridor would have limited
Daesh Nusra access to Turkey. The Kurdish corridor has been prevented and Daesh Nusra access to Turkish-controlled areas and Turkey itself is as open as ever. The Turkish military sees this as sufficient for its aims:
Taking control of Dabiq had eliminated the threat to Turkey from rockets fired by the Jihadis, the Turkish Armed Forces said in a written statement.
The Turkish military wants to halt the operation. But Erdogan and his proxies forces want to go further south and west to attack the Syrian army encirclement of east Aleppo:
Erdogan spox I Kalin said on Sunday that Dabiq’s liberation was a “strategic and symbolic victory” against Daesh. He told Reuters it was important strategically that the Turkey-backed forces continue their advance toward the Daesh stronghold of al-Bab.
To achieve this, Turkish artillery with its units relying on conscripts would have to move south of the Turkish-Syrian border. Any attack on them by the Syrian or Russian forces would thus become legal. Kurdish guerillas would be a constant threat. This explains the new split between the Turkish military and political echelons. It will be interesting to watch how that dispute develops. For Thursday the Russian command announced a unilateral temporary ceasefire in east Aleppo to let the Jihadis move out. British and other special forces, said to be embedded with A will be happy for the chance to leave. In Iraq some Shia militia are moving towards Tal Afar to cut of Daesh’s path to the west. Russia promised to take political and military measures should it detect a move by Daesh. In east Syria the Russian and Syrian air forces, Hizbullah and more Shia militia from Iraq are now preparing surprises for the expected Daesh influx from Mosul. How much can they risk when Pindostan provides further air support for the Daesh move?