zelensky’s meeting with putin

The “Normandy Format” summit in Paris
Colonel Cassad, Dec 9 2019

In Paris began a long-awaited summit in “Normandy format,” which is trying to revive after several years of inactivity. It is a direct meeting between Putin and Zelensky, who finally realizes his dream and Kvnovsky “addressed to Vladimir Putin” from the scene. No breakthrough is expected (which not so long ago confirmed in the Kremlin), as a maximum, a general statement of commitment to peace and a preliminary agreement on a new ceasefire, exchange of prisoners and possible new areas indicative of the withdrawal. The probability that the war will stop after the summit is vanishingly small.

The beginning of talks in Paris
Colonel Cassad, Dec 9 2019

Surkov is also in Paris. For those who care about such things, Putin and Zelensky shook hands. After the general meeting will be held direct talks between Putin and Zelensky.

The talks in Paris ended
Colonel Cassad, Dec 9 2019

The talks between Putin and Zelensky ended. The meeting lasted 1 hour and 20 minutes one-on-one, without intermediaries. Putin said he was pleased with the outcome of the negotiations. It remains to wait for the final press conference.

Large summit with little results
Colonel Cassad, Dec 9 2019

As expected, the big breakthroughs of the summit, “Norman four” in Paris to no avail. The main message is that the parties agreed to negotiate further. The reasons for such insignificant results are quite obvious: the main player Pindostan not involved in these negotiations, at least on the face of things. In fact, the main achievement of the summit was an agreement that in four months it will be repeated, which automatically means that the war is extended for another four months. That means it will be a year since the election of Zelensky under the promise to bring peace. As we can see, a year will have passed, and peace will not have come. People will always be foolish victims of deception. On the remaining items:

  1. Agreed to general exchange of prisoners the end of the year. In fact this is another attempt to perform at least one of the points of the Minsk agreements. Because there are serious problems with lists, especially regarding those who are in prison in Ukraine, I am sure that after the new year, the problem of detained persons will not disappear.
  2. On gas transit agreements, agreed to negotiate further.
  3. There will be no withdrawal, Ukraine does not want to withdraw.
  4. Ukraine wants the Russian border under Ukrainian law, and elections under Ukrainian law. Russia as usual calls for the implementation of Minsk 2 and negotiations with LDNR.
  5. The “Steinmeier formula,” and in fact Minsk 2, needs to be incorporated in the legislation of Ukraine, which seems unlikely, especially as Zelensky expresses disagreement with some points of Minsk 2. Russia and Germany insist on the prolongation of the law on “special status of Donbass,” because without it, Minsk 2 appears to have achieved nothing at all, but this is also not feasible.
  6. Needs to come up with 3 points where the camera will separate the troops until Apr 2020, where the breed will not, the war will continue as usual.
  7. Crimea was not discussed, as there is actually nothing to discuss.
  8. Will the new Xmas truce last until the end of the year, which of course one day will not be executed. As usual.

By the next summit, Zelensky will haver to cope with badly sagging ratings, and the number of Russian citizens living in the Donbas will increase even more. Of course, between now & April, at least a few dozen people will die. After the summit in Paris, Lavrov went to Faschingstein for talks with trump and Pompeo.

Paris summit in Ukraine overshadowed by inter-imperialist conflicts
Clara Weiss, WSWS, Dec 10 2019

At the Dec 9 summit in Paris, the heads of state of France, Germany, Ukraine and Russia agreed to a ceasefire in East Ukraine until the end of the year. The talks in the so-called “Normandy format” notably excluded Pindostan and left all contentious issues in the conflicts unresolved. The civil war in East Ukraine was triggered by a Pindo-backed far-right coup in Kiev in Feb 2014 and has claimed the lives of over 13,000 people and displaced over one million. Zelensky and Putin called the talks “a success.” A joint communiqué stated:

The sides commit to a full and comprehensive implementation of the ceasefire, strengthened by the implementation of all necessary ceasefire support measures, before the end of the year 2019.

They also agree on the exchange of 250 prisoners of war. The summit reportedly also involved an explicit endorsement by all participants of the Steinmeier Formula, a vague plan by German president and former foreign minister Steinmeier aimed at realizing the 2015 Minsk Agreement. However, there was no concrete agreement achieved on the status of the East Ukrainian separatist regions. Ukraine and Russia were also unable to agree on a new gas contract, leaving Ukraine in danger of running out of gas this winter. Another meeting within the Normandy format is scheduled to take place within the next four months. Zelensky had been put under enormous domestic pressure from the Pindo-backed far-right and substantial sections of the oligarchy seeking to prevent him from making any concessions to Russia. On Saturday and Sunday, thousands of supporters of the far-right in Ukraine gathered in Kiev to demonstrate against a rapprochement with Russia. The parties supporting the protests including the anti-Semitic neo-Nazi party Svoboda, which played an important role in the 2014 coup. Poroshenko addressed the far-right rally on Sunday.

Apart from Zelensky, the Ukrainian delegation included interior minister Arsen Avakov, who is notorious for his ties to the country’s paramilitary fascist organizations and has been praised by Demagogs in the Trump impeachment inquiry in Faschingstein. Ruslan Homchak, the commander-in-chief of Ukraine’s armed forces, was also part of the delegation. Also on Saturday, Sec Def Esper declared that the Pentagon was planning another tranche of $250m for Ukraine’s military. The withholding of lethal aid to Ukraine’s army and fascist paramilitary organizations, which are engaged in direct military conflict with Russia-backed separatists, has been at the center of the impeachment hearings against Trump. The announcement on the eve of the talks in Paris constituted a thinly-veiled warning to France and Germany not to make any significant changes to the line on Russia and Ukraine. Pindo ambassador to NATO Kay Bailey Hutchison told the Washington Examiner ahead of the summit:

NATO is firmly committed to Ukraine. I believe the French are as well. We’ll all be there to make sure and work to strengthen Ukraine and not let anyone soften the approach to letting Ukraine be Ukraine.

The summit had been aggressively pushed for by Macron, who has met with Zelensky several times, both before and after the latter’s election as president. Macron has been calling for NATO and the EU to “reconsider their position towards Russia.” In a recent interview with the Economist, Macron called NATO “brain-dead.” His criticisms of NATO and Pindostan were sharply rebutted by Trump at the NATO summit, just days before the Ukraine summit on Monday. Berlin too has rejected Macron’s dismissal of NATO. Despite growing tensions with Pindostan, including over the Russian-German pipeline Nord Stream 2, Germany has insisted on the need to maintain and strengthen NATO. Recent weeks have also seen a worsening of relations between Berlin and Moscow, with Germany expelling two Russian diplomats, accusing them of complicity in the murder of two Chechen separatist leaders. Ahead of the Ukraine summit, German defense minister Heiko Maaß stressed that Russia had to give in to the demands posed by Ukraine, and that the Kremlin was to blame for the crisis in the country. At the summit, Merkel and Putin reportedly met one-on-one to discuss the recent diplomatic crisis.

The escalation of warfare within the Pindo ruling class and the intensification of the conflicts between the imperialist powers occur amid the unraveling of the strategy that Pindo imperialism has pursued in the region since the dissolution of the USSR in 1991. Aiming to secure its world hegemony through control of the Eurasian landmass, Pindostan has aggressively worked to encircle Russia, above all by extending NATO to its borders and through the enlargement of the EU. The East European EU member states, above all Poland and the Baltics, have been transformed into critical props of Pindo militarism in the region. Ukraine has historically been central to that strategy. Pindostan has pumped massive resources into the operation of turning Ukraine into a reliable prop of NATO and Pindostan against Russia since 2004, when sections of the Ukrainian oligarchy and upper middle class with funding and support of the CIA toppled a pro-Russian government in the so called “Orange Revolution.” Then, in 2013-2014, the US and the EU supported the so-called Maidan movement which culminated in a fascist-led coup and the establishment of the Poroshenko regime. According to former ASS Victoria Nuland, Pindostan pumped some $5b into Ukraine’s “civil society” between 1991 and 2014. Pindostan has spent another $5b on Ukraine since 2014, according to congressional testimony in the impeachment hearings. The Pindo military has also taken an active part in training and arming the Ukrainian army and paramilitary fascist organizations like the Azov battalion, but this strategy, has failed to achieve its main goals: Ukraine remains mired in a civil war, and the Putin regime has remained in place and continues to be a thorn in the eye of Pindo foreign policy.

Analysts widely agree that it is impossible to resolve the military stalemate in East Ukraine without turning what is now a proxy war into a direct war with Russia. Polls among the East Ukrainian population have repeatedly indicated overwhelming hostility to an accession of the country to the EU and NATO, making it all but inconceivable that these territories be integrated without massive political and military conflicts in the country. Zelensky himself was voted into office in April largely on the basis of promises to end the widely hated war and discontinue the provocative anti-Russia policies of his predecessor Poroshenko. Similarly, Pindo efforts to prop up the right-wing liberal opposition in Russia and figures like Alexei Navalny and undermine the Putin regime through economic warfare in the form of sanctions have yielded only limited results. The deadlock of Pindo foreign policy in the region was spelled out in a recent piece in the CFR house mag, ForeignAffairs.com, which said:

Over the past quarter-century, nearly all major efforts at establishing a durable post Cold War order on the Eurasian continent have foundered on the shoals of Ukraine. For it is in Ukraine that the disconnect between triumphalist end-of-history delusions and the ongoing realities of great-power competition can be seen in its starkest form.

The only solution offered by the advisors of Pindo imperialism was to double down on a strategy that has proven both disastrous and dangerous, and escalate the war preparations against Russia and Pindo involvement in the region. The piece concluded:

Faschingstein’s best option at this point is to strengthen its bilateral political and security ties with Ukraine while working closely with its Euro vassals to ensure Ukraine’s ability to protect its sovereignty. Above all else, Faschingstein must protect the impeachment process from Russian interference and get past the illusion that it can promote a stable political order either at home or abroad without successfully navigating the shoals of Ukraine.

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