three from south front

Dress Rehearsal Of Color Revolution In Russia
South Front Jan 26 2021

Anti-government protests under the pretext of the detention of the notorious Russian opposition leader Navalny took place in various cities across the country. They were characterized by underwhelming attendance, claims of grandeur and awkward attempts at spreading violence. Protests were immediately endorsed by the Washington establishment. Notably, the US Embassy in Moscow published detailed times and locations of unsanctioned rallies. Some Western leaders have made direct calls for an escalation of violence. The entire situation resembled a staged performance that took place just days after Biden was inaugurated. The Russian scare narrative has already been pushed by the US Democrats and the US MSM for a long time. It is expected that the new Administration policy regarding Moscow will become even more hawkish. The detention of Alexey Navalny will be simply used as a justification for further aggressive actions against Russia. It fits perfectly with the Washington concept of cultivating an image of an unpredictable and irreconcilable foreign enemy to American values and democracy in general. It is quite evident that Alexey Navalny, his sponsors, teammates and supporters were fully aware that he would get arrested when he returned to Russia. This could have been entirely avoided if he simply returned a bit earlier. He would thus meet the terms of his suspended sentence over the corruption and bribery in Russia. But then there would be no reason to protest. Navalny even published a dramatic address saying that he had no desire to kill himself, to avoid any potential scenarios and being used as a sacrifice for the greater neoliberal good.

As the hubs of the neoliberal agenda in Russia, Moscow and Saint Petersburg hosted the largest protests. Protests in other regions were much smaller. However, there were even those protesting in extreme temperatures, showing that there is a motivated and unrelenting core. The protest attendance, against the entire population of the cities, however, pales and shows an unimpressive turnout. Reports of attendance vary, with some claiming at least 40k gathered in Moscow, with the authorities putting the number at merely 4k. Others claimed that the numbers somewhere in the middle. In St Petersburg, Kommersant reported that there was an attendance of about 5k. Other cities with a significant protest presence include Yekaterinburg, Novosibirsk, Vladivostok and Nizhny Novgorod. The Russian branch of the BBC said that protests took place in 122 towns and cities across the country. It appears that there was little friction among the general population. A notable part of protesters were likely paid. The core consisted of various unemployed idlers, young city hipsters, liberals and different minorities. A significant presence was seen from youths and minors, who were subjected to a large-scale social media campaign. Many videos were released claiming police violence. Every video showed the same situation: an individual rushing towards police and attempting to assault the officers, and then getting detained in return. There were no casualties, however, not from the side of the authorities, nor from the protesters. Evident attempts at causing casualties by involving minors and youths were obviously made, but they failed.

Fake news also became the integral part of this anti-government campaign. They were mostly dedicated to alleged killings and incredible numbers of arrests by the authorities. These messages were actively endorsed by mainstream social media, including the Chinese-operated TikTok. While Washington, which prefers to see the Russian statehood destroyed, Beijing is also not averse to use the situation for getting additional leverage on the Kremlin to strengthen its own position in joint projects. As a result, the narrative is being constructed as a “political persecution.” The side shouting “witch-hunt” the most is the US, whose administration referred to half of its population of Trump supporters as “domestic terrorists” and “fascists” for not supporting the establishment of the neo-liberal agenda. Despite the lack of success in the protests, this was simply a dress rehearsal. It is used to pave the way for a large-scale campaign to undermine Russia’s stability and compromise its statehood. It seems that the ramping up of the destabilization attempts is scheduled for Sep 2021, the period of the Russian general election that will include the next legislative election and the election of 11 governors. The liberal opposition has already proven that it is ready to even sacrifice children in order to achieve the ambitions of its sponsors. If the Russian government does not employ preventive measures, these people will easily find large support from Russia’s geopolitical opponents. Next time staged anti-government protests can ‘accidentally coincide’ with industrial disasters, cyberattacks, and even terrorist attacks.

The Vicious Cycle Of Middle Eastern “Diplomacy”
South Front Jan 27 2021

In the Middle East, the proxy war between Israel and Iran is unfolding with full speed. The IOF targeted various positions in Syria, allegedly damaging Iran’s interests. In return, Tehran’s allies and proxies targeted Israel’s allies throughout various positions in the Middle East. On Jan 22, IDF warplanes struck targets in the vicinity of the city of Hama in central Syria. It was launched from Lebanese airspace, and at least seven missiles hit various targets. Most of the missiles, however, were intercepted by Syrian defenses. Reportedly a civilian family was killed, as a project struck the heavily populated district of Kazo in Hama city. It is unclear what specifically was targeted by the IDF, but it usually disregards reports of civilian casualties. The missiles that were used in the attack turned out to be US-made GBU-39 Small Diameter Bomb (SDB), a type of smart bomb.

Following the strikes in Syria, five US supply convoys were attacked in different parts of Iraq. The first attack took place in the southern city of Nasiriyah, a third of the supplies was destroyed and a vehicle was damaged. Two of the attacks happened in the central province of Babylon. The remaining two attacks were carried out in al-Diwaniyah and near Abu Ghraib, west of the capital Baghdad. There are reports of injuries, no deaths and some damage to equipment and supplies. Injuries were suffered by members of the US-led coalition in Iraq, and not just Iraqi contractors doing their job for a wage. The Islamic Resistance in Iraq, Ashab al-Kahf, claimed responsibility for all five attacks and vowed to continue carrying them out.

Saudi Arabia, a behind-the-scenes ally of Israel, and a very open ally of the US was also subject to an attack. On Jan 23, Saudi defenses intercepted a missile or a drone attack over Riyadh. Social media users posted videos of what appeared to be an explosion in the air over the city. The Houthis haven’t claimed responsibility of the attack, or commented on it. However, according to reports, Iran recently deployed advanced Shahid-136 suicide drones to the Ansar Allah movement in order to assist them in their fight against the Saudi-backed coalition. On the previous day, Saudi Arabia reported that it had foiled an attempted attack by a booby-trapped boat, and another drone attack, but no evidence was provided apart from the claim.

The situation in the Middle East is in a sort of vicious cycle. Israel targets reported Iranian positions throughout Syria. Tehran then responds by targeting Israel’s allies through its proxies. Neither of the sides directly targets each other, at least not yet. Tel Aviv has even vowed to carry out a strike on Iran’s nuclear program if the Biden Administration rejoins the Iran Nuclear Deal. In own turn, Iran seems to be rock-solid to retaliate.

The false-flag casus belli for WW3 is being constructed by the (((usual suspects))) as I type, there will be no (or little) warning, and it will suddenly change everything. It will need to be something shocking enough that the Euro-trash and the usual lackeys will be able, with a somewhat straight face, to participate in the illegal war, thus providing cover for the Assholian outrages. The (((media))) will be 100% War Talk, and the morans will chant “USA! USA! USA!” Shortly thereafter WW3, a War For The Jews. – Xymphora

Daesh In Al-Tanf. Propaganda Or Reality?
Hedwig Kuijpers, South Front, Jan 26 2021

Many questions remain unanswered about the al-Tanf US base in the Syrian desert, that is called illegal by the Syrian government and Russia. Why is al-Tanf so important to the US? What are the US soldiers still doing there? Who else are hosted in the al-Tanf pocket? Why is Daesh growing again? Is al-Tanf really a launching pad for Daesh attacks in the region? The al-Tanf base is located in the al-Tanf pocket, at about 20km of the al-Tanf border crossing. It’s 55 km deconfliction zone is located along the border with Iraq and Jordan, and cuts off the Baghdad-Damascus highway. By controlling this highway, the US ensures that Iranian deliveries to the Syrian capital Damascus cannot take place by land. This is of high strategic importance to the US, because Iranian shipments and air deliveries are much easier intercepted, and form an easy target to Israeli airstrikes. The US-led coalition forces use al-Tanf as an entrance point to launch operations into Syria. The base can be easily reached from both Baghdad and Jordan. Both the Syrian government and Russian officials have repeatedly stated that the al-Tanf zone is being used by terrorist groups active in the region, as a safe haven and a foothold to carry out attacks on government-held areas and Iranian proxy-groups in the Bukamal area. This ‘Daesh rear base’ has been actively protected by the forces stationed at al-Tanf, which threaten any deployment of the Syrian Arab Army, Iranian proxy-groups and Russian forces close to the al-Tanf zone. The formal justification given by the US surrounding these actions is that Syrian government troops as well as Iranian-backed forces in Syria pose a threat to US-backed ‘less-radical’ rebel groups and US troops deployed at the garrison.

Many allegations exist surrounding the activities of the US soldiers present at al-Tanf, even though the Trump-administration claimed it wanted to pull back troops from Syria and victory had been announced over Daesh. One of the reasons is the presence of US-backed ‘rebel’ groups such as Maghawir al-Thawra. According to an OIR inspector general report released Aug 4 2020, OIR officials want to want to double the size of US-proxy forces in Syria and finish training a 2,200-man “oilfield guard” unit there. The same report also mentions the oil revenues of the area that is held by the US-backed Kurdish SDF, that cooperate to refine and sell Syria’s natural resources on the eastern bank of the Euphrates, and have recently signed a contract with a shady US company called Delta Crescent. US-backed forces likely produced at least 30k/day barrels of oil, garnering nearly $3m/day in revenue, until the recent price collapse. The IG report also reads:

Although US-backed Kurdish forces have bolstered their security presence near major oil and gas fields in northeastern Syria, they have remained co-located with Coalition forces whose protection SDF leaders still depend on. The Kurdish-led SDF occupies a great part of the country’s wheat fields and the majority of Syria’s oilfields, and thus actively threatens Syria’s economy.

Another reason the US government might offer is ‘humanitarian reasons.’ There are 10k refugees and bedouins living inside the deconfliction zone, which is heavily infiltrated by Daesh and said to be a launching pad for Daesh attacks by Syrian officials. US officials might say these ‘refugees’ have been under US protection for years now, and leaving them behind might put them in danger, so they must stay. Army Gen Joseph Votel, the top US commander for the Middle East, acknowledged the base’s strategic importance in countering the sway of Iran. He was quoted as saying:

 Al Tanf’s location is also central to its role in preventing the Iranians from gaining a firmer foothold in the region. The base sits in the heart of what Iran hopes will be part of a “Shia Crescent,” a continuous land bridge linking Iran through Iraq and Syria to Lebanon.

US officials have also said that their presence at al-Tanf could form leverage in the negotiations on the outcome of the conflict. As Syria, Russia, Turkey and Iran all want the US to leave Syria, it might give them some leverage when Syria’s future will be formed. As mentioned earlier, the rebel group “Revolutionary Commando Army” or ‘Maghawir al-Thawra’ is hosted in the al-Tanf pocket, they are called ‘less radical’ are trained by US soldiers to fight in anti-Daesh operations. Yet, defectors from the group have claimed that ‘US troops at Al-Tanf base sold weapons to Daesh in Syria’ and use the group to hinder operations of the Syrian Arab Army and Iranian proxies in the area instead. RT reports:

Another group of defectors of Maghawir al-Thawra stated that American instructors trained them to carry out sabotage at oil and transport infrastructure, as well as for terrorist acts in the Syrian government-controlled territories.

In addition to US-backed rebel groups, it is also stated that former Daesh fighters are being hosted in the al-Tanf pocket. Though the US forces have not denied that that Daesh may have infiltrated the refugees there, multiple reports state that Daesh prisoners released by Kurdish officials have been massively transported to the US military base. Western forces are being hosted in the al-Tanf base as well. The British special forces SAS have been operating alongside US forces and Syrian ‘rebels’ since 2016 in operations hidden from the public.

The British covert operation started as early as 2011, when the British were assisting the earliest Syrian ‘rebels’ and assessing their needs to overthrow Syrian president Assad. The SAS began actively training the ‘rebels’ fighting Assad from bases in Jordan in 2012. At the same time, the SAS also began “slipping into Syria on missions.” That the rebels they supported had strong affiliations with Daesh did not matter to them. The FSA that was supported in the British operation, was in effect allied to Daesh until the end of 2013 and was collaborating with it on the battlefield until 2014, despite tensions between the groups. Daesh leader Abu Atheer said in 2013, having bought arms from them:

We have good relations with our brothers in the FSA.

In 2015, reports started to emerge of SAS fighters dressed as Daesh and waving the black flag, while at the same time continuing operations against the Syrian Arab Army. Other reports show that the SAS has been actively training and fighting alongside the Kurdish-led SDF. British special forces continue to operate on the ground in Syria in 2019 and are reported to number at least 120 soldiers, as a new cyber unit was announced that ‘was created to take on Russian and Chinese battle tech’ and ‘also track down remaining Daesh commanders.’ In 2020, the SAS has continued ‘secret manoeuvres’ in Syria. They have also fought alongside the Kurdish-led SDF and were clad in Burkas during operations in the area. Reports by British media also state that the forces will also be deployed to hinder Russia’s and Iran’s covert activities. SAS forces are stationed in Jordan and al-Tanf.

Attacks claimed by Daesh in both Iraq and Syria have increased significantly in 2020, demonstrating both a capacity and a willingness on Daesh’s part to continue attacks and retake territory, support in the area, and resources. Daesh has led a steady beat of assassinations, ambushes, and bombings in eastern Syria in 2020, and is responsible for the deaths of a number of regime and SDF forces. By August, 126 attacks by Daesh across Syria were reported for 2020, compared to 144 in all of 2019. Reasons mentioned for the Daesh resurgence in Syria are to be found in several complex situations. The Kurdish-led SDF have released more than 600 Daesh fighters and 15.000 ISIS-supporters from al-Hol camp. In addition, 785 Daesh fighters escaped from Ayn Issa during Turkish shelling, and about 100 hardcore Daesh fighters have reportedly escaped from Daesh prisons. Another reason for Daesh’s opportunity to grow are the flaring tensions between the SDF and tribal forces in Deir ez-Zor, after the assassinations of several powerful Arab tribal leaders. The SDF blamed the Syrian government, Turkey, Iran and their respective local allies of using certain elements in Deir ez-Zor to cause instability. Though in 2019, victory over Daesh was declared after the last Daesh stronghold was retaken in the battle for Baghouz, the amount of Daesh attacks has seemed to have risen.

4-7Maps made by Gregory Waters show the exact location of the Daesh attacks, and how the location
of the attacks suddenly spread from the al-Tanf/al-Bukamal axis to the Deir ez-Zor-Uqayribat axis
(A Daesh stronghold that was liberated by the Syrian Arab Army in 2017) in 2020,
as well as multiplying and intensifying by orders of magnitude.

By analyzing these maps, an interesting trend can be seen. Daesh attacks seem to focus on areas that have been recaptured by the Syrian Arab Army, stretching deeply in SAA territory. Other Daesh attacks focus on Iranian proxies from al-Bukamal to Deir ez-Zor. An amount of Daesh attacks also occurred in SDF-held territories, focussing on the Deir ez-Zor region. These attacks conveniently seem to target tribal leaders that oppose the SDF-US oil deal. The controversial al-Tanf base is mentioned as a launching pad for Daesh attacks in the region by many sides. All sides seem to agree that dubious attacks, claimed to be committed by Daesh, seem to be launched from the al-Tanf pocket. The al-Tanf pocket hosts Daesh-affiliated refugees and militias like Maghawir al-Thawra, that have cooperated with Daesh and use quite the same modus operandi. These groups still receive training from US soldiers today. It is undeniable that escaped or released Daesh fighters may have rejoined the group. Released jihadis often return to Daesh or similar groups.

British SAS forces remain operative in the reason, and are stationed in Jordan and al-Tanf, from where they launch operations. Little is known about their activities in Syria, as the SAS is exempt from freedom of information laws and operates under a strict “no comment” policy. Secrecy around the corps is pervasive. Statements of defectors, Russian government officials and Syrian government officials, and other signs explained in this article all point in the same direction; that al-Tanf has become the launching pad of dubious activities in the region. They allege US-sponsored Daesh factions, US-backed rebel groups, or secretive SAS operations are behind the attacks. Proving these allegations or distinguishing the real perpetrator is very hard, yet all evidence points at al-Tanf. And even if proven, accusations will remain unheard by the larger public. Yet, when arguing about this growing threat, one must take the US military’s earlier actions in the Middle East in mind. The US has a long history of state-sponsored terrorism, and cooperation with terrorist- and radical jihadi groups. Proof of these operations often only shows up years after. And I myself will not be surprised if one day, news about a clandestine Daesh-US cooperation appears in the media through leaks or whistleblowers, books will be written, and documentaries will be made.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.