south front

Military Overview: Russian Army Left The City Of Kherson
South Front, Nov 11 2022

On Nov 11, the Russian military left the right bank of the Dnieper River in the Kherson region, including the city of Kherson, which has recently entered the Russian Federation. The decision of the Russian military command to withdrew forces from Kherson and other settlements on the right bank was declared on Nov 9 but the first Russian units had left the area days before. So far, the AFU have approached the city of Kherson from the western direction. After they took a foothold in the village of Chernobaevka, Ukrainian units entered the Shumensky district of the city and then headed to the center. Some civilians went to the streets. Despite the attempts of the Ukrainian propagandists to show their victories, the video shows that the number of civilians welcoming the AFU is extremely low. Russian sources report that the units of the 28th, 60th, 61st and 63rd brigades of the AFU, Polish mercenaries, as well as militants of the Sheikh Mansur battalion are taking part in the march on Kherson.

On Nov 11, the Russian Ministry of Defence declared that the withdrawal was completed at 5 am Moscow time. The end of the Russian retreat was marked by the blowing up of the Antonovsky bridge which was used for transfer of the Russian military equipment despite the constant attempts of the AFU to destroy it. Two hours before, at about 3 am local time, the crossing at the Kakhovskaya dam was blown up. The railway bridge located near the village of Pridnestrovskoe was also reportedly blown up. All other pontoon crossings used by the Russian military were destroyed.

The Russian Defense Ministry claimed that not a single unit of military equipment was left on the right bank of the Dnieper River. The report of the Russian MoD reads:

All Russian servicemen crossed to the left bank of the Dnieper. Formations and military units of the Russian armed forces took defensive lines and positions prepared in advance by the engineering units. There were no losses of personnel, weapons, military equipment and material assets of the Russian troops.

At the same time, Ukrainian media share footage of the destroyed Russian equipment left by the retreating forces. This equipment was likely heavily damaged in battles and out of service for a long time, and its transfer seemed impractical.

According to Russian reports, during the 3 day-long operation, 20k servicemen and 3.5k pieces of military equipment were withdrawn. However, more units had already left the area before the official announcement. The Kiev regime continues spreading fakes. For example, on Nov 11 Reuters published an interview with Ukrainian Defence Minister Alexei Reznikov, who claimed that Russia had 40k troops in the Kherson region and that it still had forces in the city, around the city and on the west bank of the vast Dnieper despite announcing their retreat. He told Reuters:

It’s not that easy to withdraw these troops from Kherson in one day or two days. As a minimum, (it will take) one week.

He added it was difficult to predict Russia’s actions and that Kyiv was focused on its own plan. Reznikov’s claims are shared by Ukrainian media, which claim that dozens of Russian servicemen were blockaded in the city. Several units of Russian special forces remained in the city until this morning in order to ensure the safety of the river crossings. After these units withdrew to the left bank, the command was given to undermine the bridges.

The AFU have been constantly shelling the area of the ferry crossing near Kherson as well as other areas along the Dnieper River. Last night, one of the locks of the Kakhovskaya dam was damaged as a result of the Ukrainian shelling. As soon as the Ukrainian military approached the city, the attacks on the crossing increased. Russian Air Defence forces, artillery and Aerospace forces covered the last retreating units as well as civilians who attempted to leave the city at the last moment. The Russian MoD reported:

During the night, the enemy tried to disrupt the transportation of civilians and the transfer of troops to the left bank of the Dnieper. During the night, the AFU launched five attacks with the American HIMARS MLRS on crossings over the Dnieper. 28 rockets were shot down by Russian air defense means. Five more rockets were successfully deflected from the targets by means of electronic warfare.

Together with the Russian troops, the evacuation of civilians continued as some people stayed in the city until the last despite the official evacuation which took place from Oct 18 to Nov 9. On Nov 11, the last ferry crossed the Dnieper to the left bank. The Russian troops provided assistance to civilians who decided too leave the city in the last moment. Russian air defense, artillery, aviation and engineering sapper units managed to slow down the advance of enemy troops and protect their own units on the river crossing. Russian forces stopped Ukrainian units 30-40 km from the Dnieper river crossing area. Two tanks, two self-propelled artillery installations, three armored combat vehicles, and more than twenty Ukrainian servicemen were blown up in the minefields. Three 155-mm towed M777 howitzers, two infantry fighting vehicles and three enemy pickups were destroyed by Lancet barrage ammunition and MLRS fire. According to the Russian Ministry of Defence, the advance of the AFU units in certain directions over the past two days amounted to no more than 10 km. At night, Russian forces also destroyed an ammunition depot of the 28th mechanized Brigade of the AFU near the city of Nikolaev.

The Russian withdrawal from the right bank area in the Kherson region was likely a successful military operation. The Russian Army suffered minimum losses and managed to inflict some damage to the AFU. The Russian military likely drew a lesson from the recent disastrous retreat in the Kharkov region. However, the loss of the first large Russian city is the major Russian military defeat since the beginning of the Russian military operations in Ukraine. The battles in the Kherson region will turn into positional artillery duels across the river. However, the Russian military is now taking new defensive positions on the left bank, which is about 50m lower than the right one. This is an important advantage for the Ukrainian forces. In addition to the imminent artillery duels across the river, Ukrainian attempts to launch landing operations on the Kinburnskaya spit should be expected in the near future. The freeze of military operations by both sides is expected in the coming months on the southern Ukrainian front lines without any significant changes in other regions. Russia, the US and other parties may launch some negotiations, with no significant results. Moscow and Kiev will exchange their prisoners of war and the bodies of dead servicemen. Artillery duels and mutual missile/UAV strikes on military and civilian strategic infrastructure will continue. There will be sabotage attacks and witch-hunts in the war-torn regions as well as on the Russian territories.

The sides will be amassing forces for new military campaigns. There is still a chance that the Russian military will continue the advance on the Donbass front lines during the winter months. New large-scale offensive operations by Ukrainian forces should be expected in the spring. The AFU are likely to launch another offensive in the Zaporozhie region in an attempt to cut the entire Russian grouping in Ukraine. Another target of the AFU attacks may be the Crimean peninsula. The Ukrainian military are currently reinforcing their naval forces. In recent months, factories that produce light and medium boats, motor boats carrying 10-15-20-25 people, have been working for days on end without holidays and weekends. Ukrainian units including marines were brought to the UK for rotation, where combat coordination with British units is carried out. At least 3 Ukrainian assault brigades aimed to prepare for amphibious operations near Crimea have been formed. While the Russian army is already being strengthened by newly mobilized military personnel, the AFU are now collecting funds and forces, preparing for the spring-summer military campaign.


  1. Rich
    Posted November 11, 2022 at 6:05 pm | Permalink

    Kherson a Russian city in Ukraine fell to Ukrainian forces after Russian forces abandoned Kherson a Ukrainian City in the Ukraine.

    Heisenberg’s Uncertainty Principle as applied to wartime geography.

    Well, anyway, the Russian people should feel depressed.

  2. niqnaq
    Posted November 11, 2022 at 6:12 pm | Permalink

    All my sources except South Front bought the story that the Russians were being given immunity to withdraw. In fact, they were under fire as they withdrew. The Russian Defense Ministry admits it now it’s over. Dima of Military Summary theorises without any evidence that there was an agreement but the Kiev side broke it.

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