what a pity the kremlin is populated by surrender monkeys, otherwise this acute analysis could be put to some use

I must apologise for my habitual abbreviations. ‘Ukia’ is the United Kingdom, aka Great Britain, not Ukraine – RB

Union help
El Murid, Sep 9 2014 10:39

David Cameron said that Ukia would join the Usaia-led war against the Islamic state. He interpreted this statement and rephrased it: we are talking about the supply of weapons to the Iraqi Kurds. In fact, this means that Usaia & Ukia write off unified Iraq from their accounts and bet on its final dismemberment. They intend to turn the Kurdish armed groups into a full-fledged army, which is an attribute of any established state. The Shi’a part of Iraq will be left at the mercy of ISIS. In addition, NATO bets that making Kurdistan into a united force will create a catastrophic tension in Turkey, as Erdogan’s attempts to improve relations with the Kurds by providing them with generous autonomous rights will be permanently stalled in this situation. In some sense, this strategy elaborates on the theoretical work of George Friedman, as he directly laid it out in his recent articles and papers on Turkey, which proposed a natural unifying of the two conflicts, the Ukrainian and the Iraqi. Friedman pointed out that the two theaters of military action are adjacent to one another and proposed to unite them in one common threat to Russia. Apparently, not only to Russia, considering that in the same region is another enemy of Usaia, namely Iran, and also concentrated in the region are some very serious interests of the main enemy, China. How such a unification of conflict will be configured and deployed in the region, it is hard to say, but the situation shows that NATO is creating two sources of tension in southern Russia: ISIS, who will be boxed in to prevent their uncontrolled expansion, and the Kurds, whose task will be to destabilize the region after the collapse of the existing state borders. Whichever of the two projects will provide a more suitable environment for results, will be the one to develop. We can say that ISIS is a project against Syria, Iran and Russia, and Kurdistan is a project against Turkey. It is along these lines that barriers will be created, directing their activity and that of others in the interests of Usaia & Ukia. To resist this traditional Anglo-Saxon strategy for the sowing of eggs in different baskets, is possible only by creating a regional security system. It should be noted that the time to create such a system, given the conflicts in the region even between the situational allies, Turkey, Iran, Syria and Russia, though these conflicts are not fatal in nature, clearly does not allow us to resolve the issue of combating the rapidly emerging threats.

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NATO finds new meanings
El Murid, ITAR-TASS, Sep 9 12:01 UTC+4

Ukia reported that it will join the Usaian campaign against ISIS in a month. If you add to this joint article Obama and Cameron before the NATO summit, dedicated to the beginning of the crusade in the form of a direct threat against Russia, it seems that NATO has finally found a new meaning of life. The military-political bloc created for confrontation with the USSR lost the meaning of his existence in the early 1990s. All attempts to save it were associated with the expansion and pobraniem to the hands of the former Soviet legacy in Europe. The USSR and then Russia rather meekly handed position, however, in 2008, was the first clash of interests is not already at the negotiating table and talk, and directly came the military conflict in Georgia. What is happening in Ukraine puts NATO to face the fact that the continuation of the strategy is fraught already quite hot in peace and war, albeit indirect, and buffer state. It is obvious that Ukraine becomes a theatre of war between Russia and NATO, and the intensity of these actions will depend on the commitment of enemies to fight till the end. The victory of NATO will lie in the accession of Ukraine to any of the partnership programs and part of the territory of military bases. In this case, Russia is a loser country and finally out of the game for regional leadership, not to mention something more serious. When flight time enemy missiles before your capital is 10 minutes, it makes no sense to talk about some of their claims. In the current situation, Russia has no choice but to prepare for a long and complicated war in Ukraine. Modern war, without phalanxes of tanks and thousands of troops. The minimum goal is to push the line of the eventual partition of Ukraine at least along the line of the Dnieper, the maximum goal is the single non-aligned Ukraine, which under any circumstances will not be accepted into the orbit of NATO. The situation in Russia should be considered a classic for losing the cold war, where the strong position of those who are willing to go to any option, “if only there was no war.” Actually, these people and groups are now active in the fight to “drain” Novorossia and Ukraine, under any pretexts. The position of Putin conforms to the situation of one Ukraine, which means to fulfill their objective to achieve the maximum possible result.

With all the bitterness with which we have to observe what is happening in the Novorossia, one should always keep in mind the maximum task. The division of Ukraine into zones of influence constitutes a waiver of the maximum possible result before it will become completely impossible. Psychologically to accept defeat would mean to accept it. Usaia lead the party in which they intend to win without direct confrontation with Russia. Ukraine and Iraq are the two fronts on which this victory must be achieved. The raison d’être of Iraq is to serve a second front in terms of the expected warm war with Russia. The recent announcement of some of the Mujahidin with the plane (the captured Russian fighter jet – RB) in which he said about the claims of an “Islamic state” in the Caucasus and Chechnya, clearly shows where exactly their creators intend to send the hordes of new barbarians. No need to feed illusions about the “struggle” of Usaia & Ukia with the “Islamic state.” The task is to put the scope of its extension and set the motion vector. Syria and the Caucasus, that’s where this vector will be sent. In both cases, this will become the second front, which should divert attention, energy and resources of Russia from the main current directions of Ukraine. Moreover, if Russia will be able to seize the initiative and create opposition to the plans of NATO in Ukraine, subsidiary second front may become the main direction of the shot. NATO’s strategy becomes quite evident even at the level of a plan, but what will be its implementation depends on Russia and its allies, which, without any doubt, you need to include Iran, Syria and the countries of the Customs Union. This is not a coalition in the classical sense of such a notion, but similar in type. To turn our country into a real military unit, depends on the actions of Usaia and its main ally Ukia.

3 Comments

  1. Posted September 9, 2014 at 2:11 pm | Permalink

    Kurds are also present in great numbers in Iran and Syria, so they are another horse to bet on to destablize those countries as well, not just Iraq and Turkey.

    We can also expect renewed fighting in Cyprus if Turkey descends into chaos, another action with potential to harm Russia given Russian financial interests there.

    At the opportune time if the ruling Shia Arabs in Iraq can figure things out, they present another front against Iran as well, as much of Iranian oil is in Shia Arab provinces in its southwest. Loss of the Arab southwest would be catastrophic for the Persian elements of Iran.

  2. Zagor
    Posted September 9, 2014 at 2:17 pm | Permalink

    All attempts to save it were associated with the expansion and pobraniem to the hands of the former Soviet legacy ….
    pobraniem = taking, putting one’s hands on something

  3. Posted September 9, 2014 at 3:55 pm | Permalink

    Some confirmation of El Murid’s point about Kurdistan being used to destabilize Turkey came up in a story of Hagel’s powwow with Erdogan:

    Rather, Turkey’s foreign minister, Mevlut Cavusoglu, warned on the state-run Anatolia news agency that weapons sent by Western countries to fight ISIS could end up in the hands of the Kurdistan Workers’ Party, or P.K.K., which Ankara considers a terrorist group.

    “We have expressed our concerns,” Mr. Cavusoglu said. “It may not be possible to control where these weapons will go.”

    Turkish officials raised concern about a host of issues surrounding the coalition, including the safety of 49 Turkish diplomats who have been taken hostage by ISIS, and whether the growing international effort to arm Kurdish fighters in Iraq against ISIS could embolden Kurdish militants in Turkey who have been seeking autonomy for the country’s largely Kurdish southeast. Turkish Kurds with the P.K.K. have fought with Kurdish pesh merga fighters in northern Iraq against ISIS. Turkey is also grappling with an influx of more than 800,000 Syrian refugees — the largest Syrian refugee population after Lebanon’s.

    Speaking to reporters after meeting with Mr. Erdogan on Monday, Mr. Hagel said that Turkish officials had expressed to him their concern about the P.K.K. But, he added, “They didn’t indicate to me in any way that they saw the P.K.K. as a more significant threat than ISIL,” using an alternative acronym for ISIS.

    The U.S. needs those bases in Turkey to stage its airstrikes against ISIS in Syria. Erdogan is in a tight spot here because if he says no what is to prevent the U.S. from, as El Murid says, putting the PKK to work breaking off a chunk of southeast Turkey for Kurdistan?

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